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Treasure Island Resorts World Macau Derby (Triple Crown - 2nd Leg) (Group 1) Comments on Selected Runners
2022-08-04 19:48

Bygone Era
A promising horse arrived from Australia with a maiden win over 1400 meters at Mildura. Form has been rock solid since coming to Macau with 4 wins, one of those was the Guineas last start on yielding to soft, which Luis Corrales rode him to perfection from barrier 10 and found the fence swiftly. The only time he was out of the top 3 was at the Derby trial when he was not proper fit and three wide throughout. I like his recent work in the mornings and I do think he could run a strong 1800, is (IN) spite of what his breeding suggests. A major winning chance.

Pursuing Eagle
He has done a decent job working his way up from Class 6 in May 2020 to now Class 1&2 and accumulated 8 wins, 5 at 1200. 3 starts back he ran a good 3rd behind Sacred Magnate beaten 2-3/4 over 1500 metres and those 2 runs at the 4 year old series although not too far off the action, he did fade late. Whether he could make the 1800 meters, it remains a huge doubt unless the track comes up soft. He is the likely leader of the race.

Winner over 2000 metres at Ararat prior to arriving. That was a good win at the Derby trial and followed that with a solid 2nd sticking on well behind Bygone Era beaten 1/2 length at the Guineas. On his overseas record, he should handle the Derby distance. The slight concern is he could sometimes over-race himself like he did 3 back over 1800 behind Circuit Miles. Even last start he momentarily wanted to go quicker in the early stages, but Masa Tanaka was able to relax him much better later on. Top 4 consideration.

A versatile galloper with 2 wins and 2 thirds over 1200 on turf and a second over 1350 on sand. He stayed on well at the Derby trial and then at the Guineas from gate 11 he was ridden forward but did not produce that end-product, his only odd run from 6 starts available. He tried over 1700 in Flemington beaten 4.65L and finished off ok. He will be looking to bounce back. Stable hit their straps this season, currently sitting on 28 (4th at the Premiership table).

Cheers Brothers
A quality stayer by Deep Field out of Balmoral Baby, who has gone up to 1800. He is a 5-time winner in Macau, three of those were over 1800 metres. The way he won looked like he still has a lot in reserve and did it in a devastating 1:46.9 spot on class record on the day when he decided to skip the Derby trial. At the Guineas last start from back last he had to circle around the field down the side and made up a great deal of ground. Trainer Joe Lau is looking for his fifth Derby victory. He is the top favourite on everything he has shown us over 1800 metres. It is more of a maintenance type of trial on Tuesday morning.

Out To Win
Winner of 3 races over sprinting distances in Australia and acclimatised well here in Macau with a win over 1200 in Class 2 and 2 other placings from 7 starts. He ran a slashing race at the Derby Trial, switched off during his run and finished 2nd. Latest run at the Guineas he held his ground beaten 3 lengths behind Bygone Era. However, this is a tough task with 1800 metres might just be a stretch for him. He has soft and heavy track form from Australia.

Famous Talent
Winner of 2 races over 1200 metres in Mornington and Pakenham. He made a strong impression on debut over 1200 when he travelled nicely in the lead and bolted in in Class 3. He stepped to 1800 for the first time. Breeding suggests that the derby distance is not quite within reach. He has soft overseas form.

Mystery Dancer
2-time winner over 1500 in Class 3 and backed that up impressively at the Guineas when he absolutely jumped out of the ground for 4th and even finished ahead of Cheers Brothers. He is the son of Akeed Mofeed who’s won the Hong Kong Derby 2013 and G1 Hong Kong Cup. He has the right breeding to run well here. His Derby trial run had some excuse, which he was severely checked at the 500 and being forced very wide on the track. He has shown ability and worth an each way claim.

Handsome Alloy
A winner of 2 races from 9 runs including the one 2 back over 1800 when he beat Breezy Artex by 4-3/4 on the soft track. Latest run in the Guineas he finished down the field beaten 8-1/4. He is greatly disadvantaged at the ratings. Others could be too strong.

Lucky Double
He has been in fairly consistent form with 2 wins over the 1200 and 1500 metres, along with 5 placings from 11 starts. Strong form lines next to his name. He came a close enough 2nd behind Bygone Era on 19th December over 1200 and 3rd behind Yuanno over 1500 on 19th February. Then 2 starts ago he finished last behind Circuit Miles over 1800 metres but did run on and not too far off in action. A bit of a hard luck story at the Guineas over the final stages and that was his 1st run after a 13-week spell. Based on his overall form somehow needs to respect his chances.

Breezy Artax
Winner of 2 races over 1200 in Sunshine Coast and Gold Coast prior to coming. He has 10 runs under his belt in Macau and scored last start when he was ridden quietly around midfield and finished off strongly to beat City Gold Master over 1800 metres. On 9th April he met Cheers Brothers he was only beaten 1-1/4 and held up for some distance over the closing stages. But he has the tendency to race fiercely in his races. More is needed to squeeze into placings.

City Gold Planet
Winner over 1415 in Sale and two other minor placings in Ballarat and Echuca. He has a strong finishing kick. He finished 3rd behind Numberone Mingxuan and then strong 2nd behind Mystery Dancer. Latest effort he flew home late behind Ronson 1st try over 1800 beaten 3 lengths. He needs some luck with his slow getaway but probably has not achieved his full potential yet. He cannot be taken lightly in the race despite at a rating of 63. He can handle any track conditions.

Who Loves Sushi
Winner of three straight races over 1200 and 1500 with the help of the apprentice claim and rolled forward easily. He was three deep no cover throughout at the Derby trial and well beaten. Latest effort on 9th July over 1800 he weakened drastically behind Breezy Artex. He is very much out of depth here at a rating of 56 and a big query whether he will run out the trip.

Breeze ‘N’ Luna
Lightly raced filly with 2 wins and 2 placings from 10 starts in Australia, including the victory in Geelong over 1715 metres at BM64. She was beaten 10-3/4 lengths at the Guineas but showed nice improvement stepping up to 1800 on June 18. She stuck on well behind Ronson beaten 2-3/4 on that occasion. Good soft and heavy form from Australia and she is bred to handle extra ground. But it looks like a tough assignment for her at this Derby contest.

Reserve list

Star Of Venus

Winner over 1550 in Murwillumbah maiden race prior to arriving. He shocked us all on debut at massive odds and his 4 runs following that were not beaten too far off in action by running on from well back. Latest effort in Class 2 over 1200, he showed a good late kick behind Happy babe beaten 4 lengths. He has given enough indication that he could handle 1800 but he is up against a quality field here if he does get a run.

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